REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 7170 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% slower than plan

Finished 17:0033h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h48-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3012:394h40-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:216h2214:316h31+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:509h5018:0010h00+47m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:4612h46+58m22:4014h40 +1h54+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:2015h2023:2915h30+1h0102:1018h10 +2h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0018h0002:2018h21+1h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4303:5319h53+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:5922h5907:0923h10+1h5612:1028h10 +5h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:4224h4208:5224h52+1h5413:4529h45 +5h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:3926h3910:4826h49+1h5616:0032h00 +5h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:3728h3712:4728h47+2h1217:4033h40 +5h03+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:1130h1114:3130h31+2h0719:1035h10 +4h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:0033h00+2h3322:0038h00 +5h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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