REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 71607 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 12:0028h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h4809:571h58-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3112:404h40-13m14:206h20 +1h49+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4213:525h52-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:208h20-43m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h38-1h1122:4014h40 +4h02+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5712h5821:0813h08-1h2102:1018h10 +5h12+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:0515h06-1h32none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1216h1300:2216h23-1h4309:1025h10 +8h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0919h1003:2019h20-1h5312:1028h10 +9h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3220h3304:5120h52-2h1613:4529h45 +9h12+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:4322h4306:5322h53-2h0016:0032h00 +9h17+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:0824h0908:1824h19-2h1717:4033h40 +9h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:3025h3109:4025h41-2h3419:1035h10 +9h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:0028h00-2h2822:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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