REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 71036 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 12:0028h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:503h5012:004h00-53m14:206h20 +2h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:055h0613:155h16-58m16:008h00 +2h54+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:208h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3610h3718:4610h47-1h1222:4014h40 +4h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2712h28-1h5102:1018h10 +5h42+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:3014h3122:4014h41-2h06none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:5215h5300:0316h03-2h0309:1025h10 +9h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0919h0903:2819h29-1h5412:1028h10 +9h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3820h3904:4920h49-2h1013:4529h45 +9h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:2922h29-2h1416:0032h00 +9h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5823h5808:0824h08-2h2717:4033h40 +9h42+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:4725h4709:5725h57-2h1719:1035h10 +9h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:0028h00-2h2822:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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