REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 71033 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 23% slower than plan

Finished 22:1038h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:342h34+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:405h4113:505h50+57m14:206h20 +39m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:217h2215:327h32+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4010h4018:4910h50+1h3719:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5313h5422:0314h04+2h0522:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:4916h5001:0017h00+2h3102:1018h10 +1h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:5519h5504:1520h15+3h18none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4321h4306:0222h03+3h4809:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:1926h2010:4026h40+5h1712:1028h10 +1h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:3228h3212:5228h52+5h4413:4529h45 +1h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:5930h5915:0931h09+6h1616:0032h00 +1h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:0433h0517:1433h15+6h4017:4033h40 +35m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:1135h1119:2135h21+7h0719:1035h10 -1m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:1038h10+7h4322:0038h00 -10m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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