REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 70720 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 28% slower than plan

Finished 00:0940h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:242h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:405h4013:505h50+57m14:206h20 +40m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:327h3215:517h52+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:1911h2019:3011h30+2h1619:4011h40 +20m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:3314h3422:5314h54+2h4622:4014h40 +6m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:2717h2801:3717h37+3h0902:1018h10 +42m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:5020h5105:1021h11+4h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:4322h4307:0223h03+4h4809:1025h10 +2h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:5926h5911:1927h20+5h5612:1028h10 +1h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:0229h0213:2229h23+6h1413:4529h45 +43m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:2631h2615:4631h46+6h4316:0032h00 +34m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:5733h5718:2734h27+7h3217:4033h40 -17m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:1136h1120:3036h31+8h0719:1035h10 -1h01+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2800:0940h10+9h4222:0038h00 -2h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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