REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 70040 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% slower than plan

Finished 17:0933h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:252h25+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5012:595h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:216h2214:416h42+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:399h4017:499h50+36m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0712h0720:1712h17+19m22:4014h40 +2h33+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:4914h5022:5915h00+31m02:1018h10 +3h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3317h3301:5317h54+56mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2219h2303:5319h53+1h2709:1025h10 +5h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:0923h1007:1923h20+2h0712:1028h10 +5h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:4624h4709:0625h07+1h5813:4529h45 +4h58+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:4926h5010:5926h59+2h0616:0032h00 +5h10+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:4828h4813:0829h08+2h2317:4033h40 +4h52+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:3130h3115:0031h01+2h2719:1035h10 +4h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:0933h10+2h4222:0038h00 +4h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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