REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69969 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 11:4027h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:541h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:463h46-57m14:206h20 +2h34+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:514h5213:025h02-1h1216:008h00 +3h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:397h40-1h2419:4011h40 +4h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1410h1418:2310h24-1h3422:4014h40 +4h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:4012h40-1h3902:1018h10 +5h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5014h5023:0015h00-1h47none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1316h1300:2216h23-1h4209:1025h10 +8h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5918h5903:1919h19-2h0412:1028h10 +9h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3220h3204:4220h42-2h1613:4529h45 +9h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3922h40-2h0416:0032h00 +9h20+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2424h2508:3424h34-2h0117:4033h40 +9h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:4725h4709:5725h57-2h1719:1035h10 +9h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:4027h40-2h4722:0038h00 +10h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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