REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69909 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Finished 19:5035h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:332h33+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:255h2513:455h45+42m14:206h20 +55m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:117h1215:317h32+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:5911h0019:0911h10+1h5719:4011h40 +40m+time
! County Road 642.619:4811h4822:4314h4423:0315h04+2h5522:4014h40 -4m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:2717h2701:3617h36+3h0802:1018h10 +43m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:0020h0104:1120h11+3h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4321h4306:0322h03+3h4809:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:3925h3909:4925h49+4h3612:1028h10 +2h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:3127h3111:4027h41+4h4313:4529h45 +2h14+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:1929h1913:2929h30+4h3616:0032h00 +2h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:1431h1515:2531h25+4h4917:4033h40 +2h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:0133h0117:2133h21+4h5719:1035h10 +2h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:5035h50+5h2322:0038h00 +2h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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