REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69902 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:0028h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h4809:571h58-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:104h1012:204h20-33m14:206h20 +2h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:255h2613:365h36-38m16:008h00 +2h34+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:198h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4310h4418:5410h54-1h0422:4014h40 +3h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:0013h00-1h1802:1018h10 +5h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5714h5823:0715h08-1h39none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1116h1200:2116h21-1h4409:1025h10 +8h58+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5919h0003:1919h19-2h0412:1028h10 +9h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:4020h4004:5020h50-2h0813:4529h45 +9h05+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3922h4006:4822h49-2h0416:0032h00 +9h20+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:3824h3908:5824h59-1h4617:4033h40 +9h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:1026h1110:2126h21-1h5419:1035h10 +8h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:0028h00-2h2722:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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