REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69855 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% slower than plan

Finished 19:2935h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:022h03-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:025h0313:225h23+19m14:206h20 +1h17+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3010h3018:4910h50+1h2719:4011h40 +1h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:1314h1422:3414h34+2h2522:4014h40 +26m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:1017h1001:3017h30+2h5202:1018h10 +1h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:5019h5104:0020h01+3h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:1121h1105:2121h21+3h1609:1025h10 +3h59+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:0925h0909:2925h29+4h0612:1028h10 +3h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:1827h1911:2927h29+4h3013:4529h45 +2h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:1629h1713:3529h36+4h3316:0032h00 +2h43+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:1431h1515:2431h25+4h4917:4033h40 +2h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:4632h4717:0633h07+4h4219:1035h10 +2h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:2935h30+5h0222:0038h00 +2h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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