REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69810 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% faster than plan

Finished 09:4025h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:104h1112:204h21-33m14:206h20 +2h09+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:215h2213:515h52-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:098h1016:198h20-54m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3310h3418:4310h44-1h1522:4014h40 +4h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3712h38-1h4102:1018h10 +5h32+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:4014h4022:5014h50-1h57none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:4815h4900:0816h09-2h0709:1025h10 +9h21+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:2918h30-2h3312:1028h10 +9h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:3919h3903:4919h49-3h0913:4529h45 +10h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:0921h10-3h3416:0032h00 +10h50+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:3922h4006:4922h50-3h4617:4033h40 +11h00+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:4123h4107:5123h51-4h2319:1035h10 +11h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:4025h40-4h4722:0038h00 +12h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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