REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69766 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:0930h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 13h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:481h4809:571h58-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:594h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:215h2213:315h32-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:198h2016:298h30-43m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:1711h1719:2611h27-31m22:4014h40 +3h23+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:4913h5022:0914h10-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5715h57-40mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:1317h1301:2317h23-43m09:1025h10 +7h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:1920h20-44m12:1028h10 +7h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:5221h5206:0222h02-56m13:4529h45 +7h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:5623h5608:0624h06-47m16:0032h00 +8h04+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:3425h3509:5425h54-51m17:4033h40 +8h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:1727h1711:3727h37-48m19:1035h10 +7h53+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:0930h10-18m22:0038h00 +7h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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