REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 69760 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 12% slower than plan

Finished 18:3934h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:162h16+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:454h4512:544h55+2m14:206h20 +1h35+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:016h0214:216h22-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:219h2217:429h42+19m19:4011h40 +2h18+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3612h3720:4612h46+48m22:4014h40 +2h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:0915h1023:2015h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:5017h5102:1118h12+1h14none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2319h2303:4319h43+1h2809:1025h10 +5h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:0923h0907:2923h29+2h0612:1028h10 +5h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:1225h1209:2225h22+2h2413:4529h45 +4h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:1927h1911:2927h29+2h3616:0032h00 +4h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:3729h3713:5729h57+3h1217:4033h40 +4h03+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:5131h5116:0032h01+3h4719:1035h10 +3h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:3934h40+4h1222:0038h00 +3h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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