REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 68751 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% faster than plan

Finished 11:3027h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:204h2012:404h40-23m14:206h20 +2h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:465h47-17m16:008h00 +2h13+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:228h2216:328h32-41m19:4011h40 +3h18+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:5210h53-56m22:4014h40 +3h47+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3912h3920:4912h50-1h4002:1018h10 +5h31+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:0515h0523:1515h15-1h32none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1816h1900:2816h29-1h3709:1025h10 +8h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:2919h3003:4019h40-1h3412:1028h10 +8h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:5921h00-1h4913:4529h45 +8h45+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:2822h29-2h1516:0032h00 +9h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5023h5108:0124h01-2h3517:4033h40 +9h49+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:1025h1109:2025h21-2h5419:1035h10 +9h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:3027h30-2h5722:0038h00 +10h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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