REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 68418 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:2030h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:231h2409:331h33-32m11:003h00 +1h36+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:473h47-56m14:206h20 +2h33+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:125h1213:215h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:218h2216:318h32-42m19:4011h40 +3h19+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h38-1h1122:4014h40 +4h02+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5812h5921:0913h09-1h2002:1018h10 +5h11+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:3115h3123:4015h41-1h06none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:5816h5801:0817h09-57m09:1025h10 +8h12+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:1720h1804:2720h28-46m12:1028h10 +7h52+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:2922h2906:3822h39-19m13:4529h45 +7h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:3924h4008:4924h50-4m16:0032h00 +7h20+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:1726h1710:2726h27-8m17:4033h40 +7h23+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:5027h5112:0028h00-14m19:1035h10 +7h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:2030h20-8m22:0038h00 +7h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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