REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67448 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 12:0028h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h13+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5013:005h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:166h1614:456h46+12m16:008h00 +1h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:309h3117:409h41+28m19:4011h40 +2h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0412h0420:2312h24+16m22:4014h40 +2h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:1814h18-0m02:1018h10 +3h52+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:2016h2000:3016h31-17mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:2817h29-27m09:1025h10 +7h41+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:5919h5904:1920h19-1h0412:1028h10 +8h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:3221h3205:5221h52-1h1613:4529h45 +8h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:1923h1907:2923h29-1h2416:0032h00 +8h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:3824h3908:4924h49-1h4617:4033h40 +9h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:5825h59-2h0619:1035h10 +9h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:0028h00-2h2722:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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