REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67440 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% slower than plan

Finished 16:4932h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:405h40+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:027h02+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:499h5017:5910h00+47m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5312h5421:0413h04+1h0622:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1915h2023:3915h40+1h0102:1018h10 +2h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:4717h4801:5717h57+1h10none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:1319h1303:3219h33+1h1809:1025h10 +5h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:3922h4006:5022h50+1h3612:1028h10 +5h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:2224h2208:4224h42+1h3413:4529h45 +5h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:3626h3610:4626h46+1h5316:0032h00 +5h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:2428h2512:4428h45+2h0017:4033h40 +5h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:2030h2114:4030h41+2h1619:1035h10 +4h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:4932h50+2h2222:0038h00 +5h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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