REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67201 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% faster than plan

Finished 09:2025h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h03-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:154h1612:354h35-28m14:206h20 +2h04+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:325h3213:415h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:198h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:2310h2418:3410h34-1h2522:4014h40 +4h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2912h3020:3912h40-1h4902:1018h10 +5h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1014h1022:2014h21-2h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:1815h1923:2815h29-2h3709:1025h10 +9h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:4917h5002:0018h00-3h1312:1028h10 +10h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:1919h1903:2919h30-3h2913:4529h45 +10h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:5920h59-3h4416:0032h00 +11h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:1922h19-4h0617:4033h40 +11h21+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:3823h38-4h2619:1035h10 +11h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:2025h20-5h0822:0038h00 +12h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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