REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 67112 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Finished 11:4027h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:381h38-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:084h09-35m14:206h20 +2h11+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:225h2213:315h32-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:098h1016:208h20-54m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1710h18-1h3122:4014h40 +4h22+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5012h5020:5913h00-1h2902:1018h10 +5h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5014h5023:0015h00-1h47none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:0316h0300:1316h13-1h5209:1025h10 +9h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5718h5703:0719h07-2h0612:1028h10 +9h13+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:2220h2204:3220h33-2h2613:4529h45 +9h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:5921h5906:0922h10-2h4416:0032h00 +10h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:2923h30-2h5617:4033h40 +10h10+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:1025h1109:2025h21-2h5419:1035h10 +9h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:4027h40-2h4722:0038h00 +10h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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