REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 66809 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 24% slower than plan

Finished 22:3938h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:295h30+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:027h0215:117h12+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4010h4118:5110h51+1h3719:4011h40 +59m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5413h5422:1414h14+2h0622:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1916h2000:3016h30+2h0102:1018h10 +1h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:4019h4104:0020h01+3h03none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:3321h3306:0322h03+3h3809:1025h10 +3h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:5925h5910:3926h40+4h5612:1028h10 +2h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:2128h2212:5228h52+5h3313:4529h45 +1h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:5931h0015:1931h19+6h1616:0032h00 +1h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:2433h2517:4433h45+6h5917:4033h40 +15m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:3135h3119:5135h51+7h2719:1035h10 -21m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:3938h40+8h1222:0038h00 -40m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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