REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 6563 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:5036h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:332h34+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:405h40+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:127h1215:317h32+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:1111h1219:3111h32+2h0819:4011h40 +28m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:2314h2422:3414h34+2h3622:4014h40 +16m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:5917h0001:1017h10+2h4102:1018h10 +1h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1619h1703:2719h27+2h39none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:5220h5305:2221h23+2h5709:1025h10 +4h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:0925h0909:2925h29+4h0612:1028h10 +3h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:0827h0811:1727h18+4h2013:4529h45 +2h37+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:1829h1913:3929h39+4h3516:0032h00 +2h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:1731h1715:4731h48+4h5217:4033h40 +2h23+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:4633h4718:0634h07+5h4219:1035h10 +1h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:5036h50+6h2322:0038h00 +1h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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