REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 65477 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 20% slower than plan

Finished 21:2037h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2310:332h33+27m11:003h00 +37m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:365h3613:455h45+53m14:206h20 +44m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:227h2215:427h42+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:2911h3019:4011h40+2h2719:4011h40 +10m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:3314h3422:4314h43+2h4522:4014h40 +6m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:1017h1001:1917h20+2h5102:1018h10 +1h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:0020h0104:1020h10+3h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4221h4305:5321h53+3h4709:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:1925h1909:3925h39+4h1612:1028h10 +2h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:2827h2811:5727h58+4h4013:4529h45 +2h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:1630h1614:2630h26+5h3316:0032h00 +1h44+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:0432h0516:1532h15+5h3917:4033h40 +1h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:5033h5118:0934h10+5h4619:1035h10 +1h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:2037h20+6h5322:0038h00 +40m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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