REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 65459 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 12% slower than plan

Finished 18:2934h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:284h2812:374h37-15m14:206h20 +1h52+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:016h0214:126h12-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:209h2017:309h30+17m19:4011h40 +2h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:2412h2420:4412h44+36m22:4014h40 +2h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1915h2023:2915h30+1h0102:1018h10 +2h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1018h1002:2018h21+1h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4304:0320h03+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:0023h0007:0923h09+1h5712:1028h10 +5h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:4224h4208:5224h52+1h5413:4529h45 +5h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:0627h0611:1627h16+2h2316:0032h00 +4h54+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:1429h1513:3429h35+2h5017:4033h40 +4h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:4131h4116:0132h01+3h3619:1035h10 +3h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:2934h30+4h0222:0038h00 +3h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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