REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 65408 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 23% faster than plan

Finished 07:0023h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 20h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-23m11:003h00 +1h27+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:483h49-54m14:206h20 +2h31+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:474h48-1h1616:008h00 +3h12+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0314:597h0015:107h10-2h0419:4011h40 +4h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:329h32-2h1622:4014h40 +5h08+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:0911h10-3h0902:1018h10 +7h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:4912h50-3h48none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:5013h51-4h0509:1025h10 +11h19+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:0916h1000:2016h20-4h5412:1028h10 +12h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:3217h3301:4217h42-5h1613:4529h45 +12h12+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:5919h00-5h4416:0032h00 +13h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2504:1920h20-6h0617:4033h40 +13h20+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0505:3821h38-6h2619:1035h10 +13h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2807:0023h00-7h2722:0038h00 +15h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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