REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 65334 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:4930h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:204h2012:304h30-23m14:206h20 +2h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4213:515h52-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:198h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3610h36-1h1222:4014h40 +4h04+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:2013h2021:3013h30-59m02:1018h10 +4h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5615h56-41mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:1717h1701:3817h38-38m09:1025h10 +7h53+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:1920h2004:4020h40-43m12:1028h10 +7h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:1622h1706:2722h27-32m13:4529h45 +7h28+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:2624h2708:3724h37-17m16:0032h00 +7h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:1426h1510:2426h25-11m17:4033h40 +7h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:1028h1112:3128h31+6m19:1035h10 +6h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:4930h50+22m22:0038h00 +7h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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