REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64800 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 09:4925h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4309:531h54-13m11:003h00 +1h17+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:064h07-36m14:206h20 +2h13+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:215h2213:325h32-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:407h40-1h2319:4011h40 +4h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:439h4417:549h54-2h0522:4014h40 +4h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:4011h40-2h3902:1018h10 +6h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:3013h30-3h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:2914h29-3h2609:1025h10 +10h41+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:5917h0001:0917h10-4h0312:1028h10 +11h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:4218h4202:5118h52-4h0613:4529h45 +11h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:2920h30-4h1416:0032h00 +11h30+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:0922h09-4h1617:4033h40 +11h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:3723h3807:4823h48-4h2719:1035h10 +11h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:4925h50-4h3822:0038h00 +12h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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