REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64697 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 24% slower than plan

Finished 22:5939h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:072h0810:472h48+12m11:003h00 +52m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:505h5014:006h00+1h0714:206h20 +30m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:217h2216:028h02+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4010h4018:4910h50+1h3719:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:1414h1422:2314h24+2h2622:4014h40 +26m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:3017h3001:4917h50+3h1102:1018h10 +40m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:3020h3104:5120h51+3h53none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:2722h2806:4822h48+4h3209:1025h10 +2h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:4926h4911:0927h09+5h4612:1028h10 +1h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:0129h0213:2229h22+6h1413:4529h45 +43m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:4631h4616:0632h06+7h0316:0032h00 +14m+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:3833h3817:4733h48+7h1317:4033h40 +2m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:3735h3819:5835h58+7h3319:1035h10 -28m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:5939h00+8h3222:0038h00 -1h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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