REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64488 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% faster than plan

Finished 11:1027h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h4810:072h07-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4012:504h50-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:465h4613:565h56-17m16:008h00 +2h14+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:198h2016:298h30-43m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4310h4419:1411h14-1h0522:4014h40 +3h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:1013h1021:1913h20-1h0902:1018h10 +5h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1615h16-1h21none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:2716h2800:3716h38-1h2809:1025h10 +8h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0919h10-1h5312:1028h10 +9h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3820h39-2h1013:4529h45 +9h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:0022h00-2h4416:0032h00 +10h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:2823h29-2h5717:4033h40 +10h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:5024h5109:0125h01-3h1419:1035h10 +10h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:1027h10-3h1722:0038h00 +10h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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