REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64288 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 18:5935h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0013:105h10+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:326h3214:526h52+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:409h4017:499h50+37m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3312h3420:4412h44+46m22:4014h40 +2h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:5915h0023:0915h10+41m02:1018h10 +3h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0018h0102:1018h10+1h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4304:0320h03+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4023h4007:5924h00+2h3712:1028h10 +4h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:3225h3209:5225h53+2h4413:4529h45 +4h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:3627h3612:0628h07+2h5316:0032h00 +4h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:5429h5514:1430h14+3h2917:4033h40 +3h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:5031h5116:1032h11+3h4619:1035h10 +3h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5935h00+4h3222:0038h00 +3h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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