REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64076 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% faster than plan

Finished 09:4025h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:231h2409:331h33-32m11:003h00 +1h36+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:383h38-1h0514:206h20 +2h42+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:514h5213:015h02-1h1216:008h00 +3h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:417h41-1h2219:4011h40 +3h59+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:0710h08-1h4122:4014h40 +4h32+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:0812h09-2h1002:1018h10 +6h01+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1014h1122:2014h20-2h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2015h2123:3115h31-2h3509:1025h10 +9h49+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:1518h1502:2518h25-2h4812:1028h10 +9h55+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4919h49-2h5913:4529h45 +9h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:0921h10-3h3416:0032h00 +10h50+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:2522h2506:3522h35-4h0017:4033h40 +11h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:3823h3907:4823h48-4h2619:1035h10 +11h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:4025h40-4h4822:0038h00 +12h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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