REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64001 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 11:5027h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0310:132h14+7m11:003h00 +57m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4012:494h50-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:455h46-18m16:008h00 +2h14+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:098h1016:398h40-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:0311h0419:1311h14-44m22:4014h40 +3h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5913h00-1h1902:1018h10 +5h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5014h5023:0015h01-1h47none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:5915h5900:1816h19-1h5609:1025h10 +9h11+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5919h0003:1019h10-2h0412:1028h10 +9h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:2820h29-2h2013:4529h45 +9h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:1922h20-2h2416:0032h00 +9h40+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5423h5508:0424h04-2h3117:4033h40 +9h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:3625h3709:4725h47-2h2819:1035h10 +9h33+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:5027h50-2h3822:0038h00 +10h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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