REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 61573 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 22:0938h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h34+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3013:505h50+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:217h2216:018h02+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:1911h2019:4011h40+2h1719:4011h40 +20m+time
! County Road 642.619:4811h4822:4314h4422:5314h54+2h5522:4014h40 -4m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:5917h0001:1017h10+2h4102:1018h10 +1h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:5019h5104:0020h00+3h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4221h4306:2322h23+3h4709:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:1926h2010:2926h30+5h1612:1028h10 +1h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:3228h3212:4228h43+5h4413:4529h45 +1h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:4630h4715:0531h06+6h0316:0032h00 +1h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:0433h0517:2533h25+6h3917:4033h40 +35m+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0519:0135h0119:2035h21+6h5719:1035h10 +9m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:0938h10+7h4222:0038h00 -10m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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