REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 61415 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 15:5932h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:534h5313:135h13+10m14:206h20 +1h27+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:426h4215:017h02+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0018:2010h20+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5612h57+1h0822:4014h40 +1h43+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:3915h4023:4915h50+1h2102:1018h10 +2h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2018h2102:3018h30+1h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:3819h39+1h4309:1025h10 +5h31+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:3922h3906:4822h49+1h3612:1028h10 +5h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0824h0908:1824h19+1h2013:4529h45 +5h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0626h0710:1726h17+1h2316:0032h00 +5h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:5827h5812:1728h18+1h3317:4033h40 +5h42+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:2829h2913:3829h39+1h2419:1035h10 +5h41+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:5932h00+1h3222:0038h00 +6h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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