REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 61373 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% faster than plan

Finished 09:0925h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:132h14-3m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3112:394h40-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4213:525h52-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:208h20-43m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h37-1h1122:4014h40 +4h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:4912h50-1h2902:1018h10 +5h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:3314h3422:4314h43-2h04none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:4215h4223:5115h52-2h1309:1025h10 +9h28+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:5918h0002:0918h10-3h0312:1028h10 +10h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:1819h19-3h3013:4529h45 +10h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:4820h4904:5920h59-3h5516:0032h00 +11h11+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:1922h20-4h0617:4033h40 +11h20+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:2823h29-4h3619:1035h10 +11h41+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:0925h10-5h1822:0038h00 +12h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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