REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 60906 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% faster than plan

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 15m.

Projections are built on a fix 14h31m old.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:072h0810:172h1710m+12m11:003h00 +52m
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4112:504h5110m-3m14:206h20 +1h39
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:126h1214:516h5240m+8m16:008h00 +1h48
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:399h4017:509h5010m+37m19:4011h40 +2h00
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:1612h1620:2612h2711m+28m22:4014h40 +2h24
Finland50.622:1814h1922:4914h5023:2015h2031m+31m02:1018h10 +3h20
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:0017h0101:1017h109m+23mnone
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:0818h0802:2818h2820m+13m09:1025h10 +7h02
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:4920h4904:5920h5910m-14m12:1028h10 +7h21
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:1222h1306:2222h2210m-36m13:4529h45 +7h32
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:4923h50-54m16:0032h00 +8h10
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:2425h2509:3425h3510m-1h0117:4033h40 +8h15
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:3926h39-1h2519:1035h10 +8h31
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:4028h40-1h4722:0038h00 +9h20

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.