REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 60445 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 11:5928h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:271h2809:471h48-28m11:003h00 +1h32+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:573h58-45m14:206h20 +2h22+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:564h56-1h0816:008h00 +3h04+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:307h3015:397h40-1h3319:4011h40 +4h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1310h1418:2310h24-1h3522:4014h40 +4h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1712h18-2h0102:1018h10 +5h52+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2414h2522:3414h35-2h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3815h3823:4815h49-2h1709:1025h10 +9h32+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:2018h2002:2918h30-2h4312:1028h10 +9h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:1620h1704:3620h37-2h3213:4529h45 +9h28+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:1622h1606:2522h26-2h2716:0032h00 +9h44+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:0824h0808:2824h28-2h1717:4033h40 +9h32+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:4825h48-2h1619:1035h10 +9h22+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:5928h00-2h2822:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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