REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 60189 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% slower than plan

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 18m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h21m old.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:232h2430m-2m11:003h00 +1h06
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0113:105h1010m+17m14:206h20 +1h19
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:266h2614:366h3610m+22m16:008h00 +1h34
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:399h4018:0010h0020m+36m19:4011h40 +2h00
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5412h5421:1313h1419m+1h0622:4014h40 +1h46
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4915h5023:5916h0010m+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1618h1602:4518h4529m+1h39none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:5819h5804:0820h0910m+2h0309:1025h10 +5h12
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4923h5008:1924h2030m+2h4712:1028h10 +4h20
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:1226h1310:2226h2310m+3h2413:4529h45 +3h32
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:1628h1712:3628h3620m+3h3316:0032h00 +3h44
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:4930h4915:0931h0920m+4h2417:4033h40 +2h51
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:0133h0117:2133h2120m+4h5719:1035h10 +2h09
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:4935h50+5h2222:0038h00 +2h10

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.