REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 59652 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% faster than plan

Finished 08:2924h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:042h04-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:194h2012:304h30-23m14:206h20 +2h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:225h2213:315h31-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:208h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:5410h5419:1411h14-54m22:4014h40 +3h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:4012h40-1h3902:1018h10 +5h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2714h28-2h09none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2015h21-2h3509:1025h10 +9h49+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:2917h3001:3917h40-3h3412:1028h10 +10h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:5818h59-3h5013:4529h45 +10h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:3820h3904:4820h48-4h0516:0032h00 +11h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:5821h5806:0822h08-4h2717:4033h40 +11h42+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:5923h00-5h0519:1035h10 +12h10+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:2924h30-5h5822:0038h00 +13h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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