REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 5873 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% slower than plan

Finished 17:4033h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h44-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3012:404h40-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:016h0214:116h12-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:508h5017:009h00-13m19:4011h40 +2h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0312h0420:1312h14+16m22:4014h40 +2h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:5014h5022:5915h00+31m02:1018h10 +3h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:1317h1301:2317h23+36mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:4718h4803:0719h08+52m09:1025h10 +6h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:2722h2706:3722h38+1h2412:1028h10 +5h43+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:2724h2808:4724h47+1h3913:4529h45 +5h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:3726h3810:4726h47+1h5416:0032h00 +5h22+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:4728h4813:0829h08+2h2217:4033h40 +4h52+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:5030h5115:0131h01+2h4619:1035h10 +4h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4033h40+3h1322:0038h00 +4h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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