REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 58424 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:1032h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:232h23-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:394h4012:504h51-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:126h1214:426h42+8m16:008h00 +1h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:109h1017:209h20+7m19:4011h40 +2h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0412h0420:1412h14+16m22:4014h40 +2h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:4014h4022:5014h50+21m02:1018h10 +3h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:1617h17+40mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:3218h3302:4318h43+37m09:1025h10 +6h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h1006:2922h30+1h0712:1028h10 +6h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0624h0708:1624h17+1h1813:4529h45 +5h38+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0926h0910:2926h29+1h2616:0032h00 +5h51+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:5527h5512:0428h05+1h3017:4033h40 +5h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:4729h4714:0630h06+1h4319:1035h10 +5h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1032h10+1h4322:0038h00 +5h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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