REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 58190 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 27% slower than plan

Finished 23:4039h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:432h44+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:405h41+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:027h0215:227h22+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:5010h5019:1011h10+1h4719:4011h40 +50m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5313h5322:0314h04+2h0522:4014h40 +47m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:5716h5701:1717h17+2h3802:1018h10 +1h13+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:1020h1004:2020h20+3h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4221h4305:5321h54+3h4709:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:5925h5910:1926h20+4h5612:1028h10 +2h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:3228h3312:5228h52+5h4413:4529h45 +1h12+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:2631h2715:4631h47+6h4316:0032h00 +33m+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:2933h2917:3833h39+7h0417:4033h40 +11m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:0136h0120:2136h22+7h5719:1035h10 -51m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2823:4039h40+9h1322:0038h00 -1h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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