REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 58009 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 21:3937h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:252h26+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0013:205h21+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5019:0911h10+1h4619:4011h40 +50m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:2314h2422:3314h34+2h3522:4014h40 +16m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:0917h1001:2017h20+2h5102:1018h10 +1h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:0020h0104:1020h10+3h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:3221h3305:5221h53+3h3709:1025h10 +3h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:3925h3909:4825h49+4h3612:1028h10 +2h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:3727h3811:5827h58+4h4913:4529h45 +2h07+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:1630h1614:2630h26+5h3316:0032h00 +1h44+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:3432h3416:5432h54+6h0917:4033h40 +1h06+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:3834h3918:5834h59+6h3419:1035h10 +31m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:3937h40+7h1222:0038h00 +20m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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