REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57769 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:3032h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4410:032h04-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3013:505h50+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:117h1215:227h22+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0018:1010h10+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0313h0421:1313h13+1h1522:4014h40 +1h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:3015h3023:4015h40+1h1102:1018h10 +2h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:5717h5702:0718h08+1h20none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2319h2303:3319h33+1h2809:1025h10 +5h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:5922h5907:0923h10+1h5612:1028h10 +5h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:2824h2908:3924h39+1h4013:4529h45 +5h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:1826h1810:2826h28+1h3516:0032h00 +5h42+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:0428h0512:2528h25+1h3917:4033h40 +5h36+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:5029h5114:0030h01+1h4619:1035h10 +5h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:3032h30+2h0322:0038h00 +5h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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