REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57745 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:1932h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h34+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:205h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0118:1110h11+57m19:4011h40 +1h39+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:4312h4421:0413h04+55m22:4014h40 +1h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:2015h2023:3015h30+1h0102:1018h10 +2h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:2017h2101:3017h30+43mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:3318h3302:5218h53+38m09:1025h10 +6h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0305:4921h5006:0922h10+46m12:1028h10 +6h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:5623h5708:0624h06+1h0813:4529h45 +5h48+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0926h0910:1926h20+1h2616:0032h00 +5h51+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:4427h4511:5527h55+1h1917:4033h40 +5h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:3029h3113:4129h41+1h2619:1035h10 +5h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1932h20+1h5222:0038h00 +5h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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