REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57732 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% faster than plan

Finished 08:1024h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 19h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:231h2409:331h33-32m11:003h00 +1h36+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:253h2511:353h35-1h1814:206h20 +2h55+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:374h37-1h2716:008h00 +3h23+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:107h11-1h5219:4011h40 +4h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:269h27-2h2222:4014h40 +5h13+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:1711h18-3h0102:1018h10 +6h52+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:1013h10-3h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:0914h09-3h4609:1025h10 +11h01+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:4016h40-4h2312:1028h10 +11h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:5817h5902:0818h09-4h5013:4529h45 +11h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:4619h4703:5619h56-4h5716:0032h00 +12h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:0921h1005:2021h20-5h1617:4033h40 +12h30+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:2722h2806:3722h38-5h3719:1035h10 +12h42+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:1024h10-6h1722:0038h00 +13h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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