REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57520 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 24% faster than plan

Finished 06:3922h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 20h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:541h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:373h38-1h0514:206h20 +2h42+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:414h4212:514h52-1h2216:008h00 +3h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:197h2015:397h40-1h4419:4011h40 +4h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:379h38-2h1122:4014h40 +5h02+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:2011h20-2h5902:1018h10 +6h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:5312h5321:0313h03-3h44none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:5813h59-3h5709:1025h10 +11h11+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:0016h00-5h0312:1028h10 +12h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:2017h2101:3017h31-5h2813:4529h45 +12h24+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:2918h2902:3918h40-6h1416:0032h00 +13h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:3919h39-6h4617:4033h40 +14h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:5820h59-7h0619:1035h10 +14h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2806:3922h40-7h4822:0038h00 +15h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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