REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57512 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:3932h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:152h1610:252h26+20m11:003h00 +44m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:155h1513:255h25+32m14:206h20 +1h05+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:509h5018:0010h00+47m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0613h0621:1513h16+1h1822:4014h40 +1h34+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:3915h4023:5015h50+1h2102:1018h10 +2h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2018h2102:4018h41+1h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4819h4904:0820h09+1h5309:1025h10 +5h21+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:2923h3007:4923h49+2h2612:1028h10 +4h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:0925h0909:2925h30+2h2113:4529h45 +4h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:2627h2711:3727h37+2h4316:0032h00 +4h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:4928h5012:5929h00+2h2417:4033h40 +4h50+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:1930h1914:4930h49+2h1519:1035h10 +4h51+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:3932h40+2h1222:0038h00 +5h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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