REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57445 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:1930h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5510:052h05-1m11:003h00 +1h05+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3012:404h40-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:515h5214:016h02-12m16:008h00 +2h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:198h2016:298h30-44m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4310h4419:1311h14-1h0522:4014h40 +3h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:3013h3021:4913h50-49m02:1018h10 +4h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5015h50-47mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:0717h0801:1817h18-48m09:1025h10 +8h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:3920h3904:4920h49-24m12:1028h10 +7h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:1222h1206:2222h23-36m13:4529h45 +7h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:0624h0708:2624h27-37m16:0032h00 +7h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:1226h1310:2226h23-13m17:4033h40 +7h27+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:5027h5012:1028h11-14m19:1035h10 +7h20+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:1930h20-8m22:0038h00 +7h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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