REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56522 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 12% faster than plan

Finished 10:3026h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:481h49-7m11:003h00 +1h11+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:215h2213:315h32-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:507h5116:018h02-1h1219:4011h40 +3h49+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:549h5418:0410h04-1h5422:4014h40 +4h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:5912h0020:0912h10-2h1902:1018h10 +6h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1014h1122:2014h20-2h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:1915h1923:2915h29-2h3609:1025h10 +9h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:1918h2002:2918h30-2h4312:1028h10 +9h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4819h4903:5819h59-3h0013:4529h45 +9h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:4821h4805:5821h58-2h5516:0032h00 +10h12+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:1923h1907:2923h29-3h0617:4033h40 +10h21+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:3024h3108:4024h41-3h3419:1035h10 +10h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:3026h30-3h5722:0038h00 +11h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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