REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56053 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% slower than plan

Finished 21:2037h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:352h35+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:055h0513:145h15+22m14:206h20 +1h15+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:356h3614:466h46+32m16:008h00 +1h24+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2910h3018:4910h50+1h2719:4011h40 +1h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5313h5422:0314h03+2h0622:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:5016h5001:1017h10+2h3102:1018h10 +1h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2319h2303:3319h33+2h46none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0321h0305:2321h24+3h0809:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:1925h1909:3925h39+4h1612:1028h10 +2h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:4227h4311:5227h52+4h5413:4529h45 +2h02+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:4629h4713:5729h57+5h0316:0032h00 +2h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:5431h5516:0432h04+5h2917:4033h40 +1h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:0034h0118:1034h11+5h5619:1035h10 +1h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:2037h20+6h5322:0038h00 +40m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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